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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen (^USDJPY)

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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Dips on Dovish Comments from Fed Chair Powell

The dollar index (DXY00) Tuesday fell by -0.17%.  The dollar on Tuesday moved lower, pressured by a decline in T-note yields. The dollar extended its losses Tuesday based on dovish comments from Fed Chair Powell, who said prices now show signs of resuming their disinflation trend.  Losses in the dollar were limited after the US May Jolt job openings unexpectedly increased, a sign of strength in the labor market that is hawkish for Fed policy.  Also, weakness in the yen supported the dollar after the yen tumbled to a new 37-year low against the dollar Tuesday.

The US May JOLTS job openings unexpectedly rose +221,000 to 8.140 million, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of a decline to 7.946 million.

Fed Chair Powell said prices now show signs of resuming their disinflation trend, and the Fed can "take its time" with interest rate cuts with a strong economy and a job market.

The markets are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 9% for the Jul... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 25, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
77,434 (+9,293)
259,292 (+31,385)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
208,476 (+31,294)
34,576 (+5,147)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
5,635 (+1,941)
203,072 (+30,981)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
127,595 (+13,115)
29,810 (+1,446)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
139,676 (+23,646)
30,032 (+4,399)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
4,825 (+1,465)
22,775 (-714)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
154.551 +4.71%
on 06/04/24
161.940 -0.07%
on 07/03/24
+5.749 (+3.68%)
since 06/03/24
3-Month
150.816 +7.30%
on 04/05/24
161.940 -0.07%
on 07/03/24
+10.133 (+6.68%)
since 04/03/24
52-Week
137.248 +17.91%
on 07/14/23
161.940 -0.07%
on 07/03/24
+17.149 (+11.85%)
since 07/03/23

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Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis Looking for $USDCHF to Correct in Wave (2)

Short Term Elliott Wave in (USDCHF) suggests pair ended the move down from 5.1.2024 high as wave (1) at 0.882. Wave (2) corrective rally is now in progress to correct cycle from 5.1.2024 high.

^USDCHF : 0.90386 (-0.01%)
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Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis on AUDJPY Looking to End Wave 5

Short Term Elliott Wave in (AUDJPY) suggests rally from 6.4.2024 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse structure. Up from 6.4.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 104.8 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 103.57.

^AUDJPY : 108.086 (+0.42%)
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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy and ranks in the Top 1% of all short term signal directions.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 162.166
2nd Resistance Point 161.955
1st Resistance Point 161.698
Last Price 161.827
1st Support Level 161.230
2nd Support Level 161.019
3rd Support Level 160.762

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52-Week High 161.940
Last Price 161.827
Fibonacci 61.8% 152.508
Fibonacci 50% 149.594
Fibonacci 38.2% 146.680
52-Week Low 137.248

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